Sunday, May 10, 2009

IPTV Global Forecast –2008 to 2012: Semi annual IPTV Global Forecast Report

Multimedia Research Group has published a report on medium term IPTV global forecast. The report can be ordered online. The executive summary is provided here. More details are available at http://www.mrgco.com/.
Executive Summary
This report is the latest update to the IPTV Global Forecast – 2008 to 2012 published April 2008. It incorporates the most recent information on current IPTV deployments around the world, as well a forecast for IPTV subscribers, service revenue, and system revenue from 2008 to 2012. MRG breaks down the IPTV ecosystem into six markets: Access Systems, Video Headends, Video-on-Demand, Set-top Boxes, Middleware and Content Protection/Digital Rights Management (CP/DRM). In addition, we split up the market into 4 regions around the world: Europe, Asia, North America and Rest of World, as well as the Worldwide market. We have identified 681 companies worldwide deploying IPTV services, which is an increase of 59 IPTV Service Providers over the past 12 months.

MRG is forecasting that the number of global IPTV subscribers will grow from 20.4 million in 2008 to 89.1 million in 2012, a compound annual growth rate of 45%. (See Figure 1-1.) We are forecasting that the number of DSL subscribers will grow from 242.7 million in 2008 to 401 million in 2012, a compounded annual growth rate of 13%. These DSL subscribers are the main base for the IPTV subscribers in Figure 1-1.

Figure 1-1: Global IPTV Subscriber Forecast Source: Copyright © 2008 MRG, Inc.
In terms of service revenue, we forecast that the Global IPTV market is $5.9 billion in 2008 and growing to $29.6 billion in 2012, a compound annual growth rate of 50% (see Figure 1-2). By 2012, Europe and North America will generate a disproportionate share of global revenue, due to very low ARPUs in China and India, the fastest growing (and ultimately, the biggest markets) in Asia.

Figure 1-2: Global IPTV Service Revenue Forecast Source: Copyright © 2008 MRG, Inc. This report is part of the IPTV Tracking Service published by the Multimedia Research Group, Inc.

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